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The probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 98.6%. According to CME's "Fed Watch", the probability that the Fed will keep the current interest rate unchanged by December is 1.4%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 98.6%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 1.1%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 79.9%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 19%.Soochow securities: The demand resonance of land, sea and wind installations is optimistic about the long-term growth of the plate. soochow securities released a research report saying that in 2025, the growth rate of wind installations will be high, with long-term growth. Dongfang Cable (603606.SH) and Qifan Cable (605222.SH) are recommended, and Zhongtian Technology (600522.SH) and Hengtong Optoelectronics (600487. SH) are concerned; Daikin Heavy Industry (002487.SZ), Tianshun Wind Energy (002531.SZ), Haili Wind Energy (301155.SZ) and Taisheng Wind Energy (300129.SZ) are recommended.The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a blue gale warning at 18: 00 on December 11. It is estimated that there will be about 5 northerly winds and gusts of 6-8 in eastern Xinjiang, central and western Inner Mongolia, Hexi, Ningxia and northwestern Shaanxi from 20: 00 on December 11 to 20: 00 on December 12. There will be 7-8 northeast winds with gusts of 9 in the southern part of the East China Sea, the Taiwan Province Strait, the east of Taiwan Province, bashi channel and the northern and central parts of the South China Sea.

The performance of deep thinking AI model exceeds the existing weather forecast. A study published in the new issue of Nature reported the latest machine learning model introduced by deep thinking. The model can make reliable probabilistic weather forecast according to current and future weather, and its performance not only exceeds the best traditional medium-range weather forecast, but also can better predict extreme weather, tropical cyclone route and wind energy production.In November, LP, a financial institution, injected nearly 30 billion yuan into private equity funds. Judging from the latest capital contribution of private equity funds, the reporter learned from Zhizhong Data Technology (Suzhou) Co., Ltd. that in November, the national private equity funds invested 486 pens, with a total capital contribution of 99.761 billion yuan. Judging from the contribution of LP (Limited Partner) with different identities, in November, government funds LP made a total of 178 contributions, with a total contribution of 39.9 billion yuan, accounting for 40%. LP, the industrial investor, contributed a total of 175 transactions, with a total investment of 13 billion yuan. The financial institution LP contributed a total of 29.948 billion yuan, of which the insurance institution LP contributed 16.488 billion yuan, accounting for 55%; Banking institution LP contributed 12.259 billion yuan, accounting for 41%. (Securities Daily)Brazil raised the benchmark lending rate by 100 basis points to 12.25%. Brazil's central bank expects the next two meetings to raise interest rates by the same amount.

Standard & Poor's: It is expected that the rise of trade protectionism in major economies will damage the GDP growth of most emerging markets, but the impact will depend on specific policies. Central banks in emerging markets are expected to take a more cautious stance, but monetary easing will continue.US stocks "Seven Sisters" | Tesla and Google A closed up more than 5%, both hitting record highs. On Wednesday (December 11), in "Magnificent 7", Tesla closed up 5.93%, refreshing the record high of closing to 424.77 US dollars; Google's parent company, Alphabet(GOOGL), closed up 5.52%, the best performance for two consecutive days since 2015-accumulated up by about 11%, refreshing the historical high of closing to 195.40 US dollars; NVIDIA rose 3.14%, Amazon rose 2.32%, Meta Platforms rose 2.16%, Microsoft rose 1.28%, and Apple closed down 0.52% from its all-time high. In addition, AMD closed up 1.89%, TSMC ADR rose 1.39%, Berkshire Hathaway B shares closed down 0.24%, and Lilly fell 0.44%.Public offerings frequently employ conservative products of fund managers to seek attack. Driven by the positive sentiment in the stock market, many fund companies have recently strengthened the "share" of products and the layout of specific tracks by hiring more aggressive fund managers. The reporter noted that in the announcements of hiring fund managers by many fund companies, the importance of product "stock" and high flexibility track was highlighted. For example, some conservative funds hire fund managers who like high positions, some funds who buy dividend resources stocks hire internet fund managers, and some funds hope to strengthen the layout of hard technology and hire semiconductor fund managers. The insiders believe that Public Offering of Fund's offensive features in hiring more fund managers are related to his judgment on the positive rebound in the stock market. Many fund companies stressed that even if the market outlook index is average, structural opportunities will be highlighted and the profit-making effect will not decrease, which may be a market feature for a long time to come. (Securities Times)